Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#31
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#29
Pace60.4#324
Improvement-1.9#267

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#69
First Shot+2.3#114
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#65
Layup/Dunks+1.8#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#181
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement+0.3#163

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#13
First Shot+7.4#13
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#33
Layups/Dunks+3.8#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#64
Freethrows+2.3#51
Improvement-2.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 1.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% n/a n/a
First Round96.3% n/a n/a
Second Round49.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 317   Western Carolina W 92-43 98%     1 - 0 +36.1 +14.6 +20.0
  Nov 16, 2016 248   @ North Florida W 94-56 92%     2 - 0 +35.3 +18.4 +16.8
  Nov 19, 2016 177   Penn W 74-62 92%     3 - 0 +8.8 +0.1 +8.5
  Nov 24, 2016 95   Stanford W 67-53 78%     4 - 0 +18.8 +4.7 +15.6
  Nov 25, 2016 17   Iowa St. L 56-73 32%     4 - 1 +0.6 -10.5 +11.1
  Nov 27, 2016 8   Florida L 56-65 27%     4 - 2 +10.2 +1.8 +7.3
  Nov 30, 2016 116   Rutgers W 73-61 88%     5 - 2 +12.2 +4.1 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2016 135   Wofford W 74-57 86%     6 - 2 +18.5 +5.4 +14.6
  Dec 06, 2016 335   South Carolina St. W 82-46 99%     7 - 2 +19.5 +5.6 +17.4
  Dec 16, 2016 271   Florida Atlantic W 76-56 97%     8 - 2 +10.8 +6.5 +6.2
  Dec 22, 2016 113   George Washington W 72-64 87%     9 - 2 +8.5 +9.3 +0.4
  Dec 28, 2016 232   Columbia W 78-67 96%     10 - 2 +3.9 +0.8 +2.9
  Dec 31, 2016 94   North Carolina St. W 81-63 84%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +20.3 +14.7 +7.5
  Jan 04, 2017 46   @ Syracuse L 55-70 47%     11 - 3 1 - 1 -1.4 -4.3 +0.2
  Jan 12, 2017 25   Notre Dame L 62-67 50%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +7.9 -2.5 +10.1
  Jan 14, 2017 73   @ Pittsburgh W 72-46 60%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +36.2 +11.1 +28.4
  Jan 18, 2017 29   @ Wake Forest L 79-96 40%     12 - 5 2 - 3 -1.6 +9.1 -10.8
  Jan 21, 2017 10   @ Duke L 58-70 22%     12 - 6 2 - 4 +8.9 -2.3 +10.1
  Jan 25, 2017 138   Boston College W 78-77 90%     13 - 6 3 - 4 -0.2 +2.6 -2.8
  Jan 28, 2017 3   North Carolina W 77-62 31%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +33.1 +10.7 +22.3
  Feb 01, 2017 18   Florida St. L 57-75 43%     14 - 7 4 - 5 -3.4 +3.0 -10.4
  Feb 04, 2017 94   @ North Carolina St. W 84-79 70%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +12.4 +20.2 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2017 36   Virginia Tech W 74-68 64%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +15.2 +3.4 +12.0
  Feb 11, 2017 7   @ Louisville L 66-71 20%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +16.8 +15.1 +0.9
  Feb 15, 2017 77   Georgia Tech W 70-61 79%     17 - 8 7 - 6 +13.2 +15.5 -1.0
  Feb 18, 2017 39   Clemson W 71-65 65%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +15.0 +14.4 +1.7
  Feb 20, 2017 11   @ Virginia W 54-48 OT 24%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +26.4 +6.1 +21.5
  Feb 25, 2017 10   Duke W 55-50 39%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +20.8 -8.0 +29.3
  Feb 27, 2017 36   @ Virginia Tech L 61-66 44%     20 - 9 10 - 7 +9.3 +3.0 +5.3
  Mar 04, 2017 18   @ Florida St. L 57-66 26%     20 - 10 10 - 8 +10.7 +1.5 +7.9
  Mar 08, 2017 46   Syracuse W 62-57 57%     21 - 10 +16.1 +8.5 +9.0
  Mar 09, 2017 3   North Carolina L 53-78 23%     21 - 11 -4.4 -4.8 -2.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 97.1% 97.1% 8.7 0.1 1.4 14.4 29.4 27.9 18.2 5.7 0.1 2.9 97.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.1% 0.0% 97.1% 8.7 0.1 1.4 14.4 29.4 27.9 18.2 5.7 0.1 2.9 97.1%